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Poll Shows Double-Digit Oregon Lead For Obama
POSTED: 8:38 pm PDT May 12,
2008
UPDATED: 10:41 am PDT May 13,
2008
PORTLAND, Ore. -- The race for the Democratic nomination is down to the wire, but a new poll shows Sen. Barack Obama has a double-digit lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton.
The Portland Tribune-FOX 12 Democratic primary poll, by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc., shows 51 percent of Oregon Democrats would vote for Obama, while 34 percent would vote for Clinton.FOX 12 political analyst Tim Hibbitts said Obama's popularity sweeps the state.
"Every poll done in the last several months has shown Barack Obama ahead in Oregon, but this is the biggest lead so far," Hibbitts said.According to the new poll, Obama is winning with male and female voters. He's also ahead in rural areas and is cutting into another part of the populace."One of the messages Clinton has been driving is that Obama is having a hard time with white voters, but here in Oregon, he's clearly doing very well," Hibbitts said.Clinton and Obama will both visit Oregon again before the May 20 primary. Nancy Borden, a Clinton supporter, is still holding out hope."She's ready tomorrow to be president," Borden said. "It will take Obama a year to learn what to do, how to treat people, how to be president."Meanwhile, Obama supporters said they're confident their candidate can maintain his lead."Barack is pretty liberal ... and everybody is pretty liberal in this state," said Brian Ireton.
Poll Shows Double-Digit Oregon Lead For Obama
Conducted by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall, Inc.
1. All in all, are things in the country headed in the right direction, or are things pretty much off on the wrong track?
Right Direction 8%
Wrong track 87%
Don't know 5%
2. For each name, specify if you have a very favorable (VF), somewhat favorable (SF), neutral (NE), somewhat unfavorable(SU), or very unfavorable (VU) impression of that person.
-------------------------------------------------------------VU-------SU-------NE------SF-----VF-----DK
a. George Bush-----------------------------------------75%-------9%-------6%------6%-----5%-----1%
b. Steve Novick-------------------------------------------2%-------5%-----19%-----18%----12%---45%
c. Hillary Clinton------------------------------------------9%-----15%-----13%-----33%----30%-----2%
d. Rick Metsger-------------------------------------------2%-------6%-----19%-----12%-----8%---53%
e. Jeff Merkley--------------------------------------------1%-------4%-----14%-----21%-----9%---51%
f. John McCain--------------------------------------------32%-----27%-----16%-----17%-----5%-----4%
g. Kate Brown---------------------------------------------1%-------1%-------9%-----17%----10%---63%
h. Greg MacPherson--------------------------------------1%-------4%-----13%------9%-----3%---69%
i. Barack Obama-----------------------------------------10%-------7%-----11%-----28%----43%-----2%
j. John Kroger---------------------------------------------1%-------3%-----16%------9%-----5%---67%
k. Vicki Walker--------------------------------------------1%-------2%-----11%-----11%-----5%---71%
3. In the Democratic primary for President, the candidates are Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. As of today, would you vote for Clinton or Obama?
Hillary Clinton 34%
Barack Obama 51%
| Poll Results | Campaign Responses | | |
Clinton, Obama Campaigns Respond To Poll
Julie Edwards, Oregon communications director for Hillary Clinton's campaign, responded to the poll with the following statement:"We knew from the beginning that Senator Obama started with a big lead here in Oregon and that it would be a tough hill to climb. But Hillary has never backed down from a tough challenge and is going to fight for every vote in Oregon."Nick Shapiro, Obama's Oregon communications director, released the following statement in response to the poll:
"In order to push Sen. Obama over the top and clinch the pledged delegate lead here in Oregon, Obama supporters need to keep working hard and continue to spread Sen. Obama’s vision for change and unity. We are not taking anything for granted as polls have gone up and down throughout this long primary process. However, we are optimistic about our chances in Oregon and what a win here will mean to our campaign, to the Democratic Party and to Oregon."
FOX 12-Portland Tribune Poll, May 8-10, 2008
Conducted by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall, Inc.
1. All in all, are things in the country headed in the right direction, or are things pretty much off on the wrong track?
Right Direction 8%
Wrong track 87%
Don't know 5%
2. For each name, specify if you have a very favorable (VF), somewhat favorable (SF), neutral (NE), somewhat unfavorable(SU), or very unfavorable (VU) impression of that person.
-------------------------------------------------------------VU-------SU-------NE------SF-----VF-----DK
a. George Bush-----------------------------------------75%-------9%-------6%------6%-----5%-----1%
b. Steve Novick-------------------------------------------2%-------5%-----19%-----18%----12%---45%
c. Hillary Clinton------------------------------------------9%-----15%-----13%-----33%----30%-----2%
d. Rick Metsger-------------------------------------------2%-------6%-----19%-----12%-----8%---53%
e. Jeff Merkley--------------------------------------------1%-------4%-----14%-----21%-----9%---51%
f. John McCain--------------------------------------------32%-----27%-----16%-----17%-----5%-----4%
g. Kate Brown---------------------------------------------1%-------1%-------9%-----17%----10%---63%
h. Greg MacPherson--------------------------------------1%-------4%-----13%------9%-----3%---69%
i. Barack Obama-----------------------------------------10%-------7%-----11%-----28%----43%-----2%
j. John Kroger---------------------------------------------1%-------3%-----16%------9%-----5%---67%
k. Vicki Walker--------------------------------------------1%-------2%-----11%-----11%-----5%---71%
3. In the Democratic primary for President, the candidates are Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. As of today, would you vote for Clinton or Obama?
Hillary Clinton 34%
Barack Obama 51%
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