PORTLAND, OR (KPTV) -
A new FOX 12-OPB poll from DHM Research shows a bit of separation between Portland's three mayoral candidates, with former city commissioner Charlie Hales out in front.
In the poll, which was conducted May 10-12 and surveyed 500 likely voters, 32 percent said they would vote for Hales, 24 percent said they would vote for Jefferson Smith and 16 percent said they would vote for Eileen Brady. The margin of error falls within +/- 2.6 percent and +/- 4.4 percent.
Hales' and Smith's numbers were an increase from the last FOX 12-OPB poll, while Brady saw a seven-point drop.
|
Candidate
|
Apr. ‘12
|
May ‘12
|
|
Total Charlie Hales
|
25%
|
32%
|
|
Charlie Hales
|
23%
|
29%
|
|
Lean Hales
|
2%
|
3%
|
|
Total Eileen Brady
|
23%
|
16%
|
|
Eileen Brady
|
20%
|
15%
|
|
Lean Brady
|
3%
|
1%
|
|
Total Jefferson Smith
|
20%
|
24%
|
|
Jefferson Smith
|
18%
|
21%
|
|
Lean Smith
|
2%
|
2%
|
|
Other
|
6%
|
8%
|
|
Undecided
|
28%
|
21%
|
Oregon's primary election is Tuesday. Because it's highly unlikely that one candidate will get more than 50 percent of the vote in the primary, the top two candidates are expected to advance to a runoff in the fall.
In another tightly contested race for Portland's City Council, there wasn't much change in the numbers for Mary Nolan and current city commissioner Amanda Fritz.
|
Candidate
|
Apr. ‘12
|
May ‘12
|
|
Total Bruce Altizer
|
1%
|
1%
|
|
Bruce Altizer
|
1%
|
1%
|
|
Lean Altizer
|
0%
|
1%
|
|
Total Mary Nolan
|
25%
|
25%
|
|
Mary Nolan
|
21%
|
23%
|
|
Lean Nolan
|
4%
|
2%
|
|
Total Teressa Raiford
|
1%
|
2%
|
|
Teressa Raiford
|
1%
|
1%
|
|
Lean Raiford
|
1%
|
0%
|
|
Total Amanda Fritz
|
32%
|
33%
|
|
Amanda Fritz
|
25%
|
29%
|
|
Lean Fritz
|
7%
|
4%
|
|
Total David Gwyther
|
1%
|
2%
|
|
David Gwyther
|
1%
|
1%
|
|
Lean Gwyther
|
0%
|
0%
|
|
Undecided
|
40%
|
38%
|
The new poll also measured voters' impressions of President Barack Obama after he became the first president to declare his unequivocal support for gay marriage.
|
Response Category
|
Very favorable
|
Somewhat favorable
|
Neutral
|
Somewhat unfavorable
|
Very unfavorable
|
Don't know
|
|
1. John Kitzhaber
|
|
May ‘12
|
34%
|
34%
|
12%
|
6%
|
8%
|
7%
|
|
Apr. ‘12
|
33%
|
34%
|
13%
|
8%
|
7%
|
6%
|
|
2. Eileen Brady
|
|
May ‘12
|
10%
|
26%
|
19%
|
13%
|
5%
|
27%
|
|
Apr. ‘12
|
8%
|
22%
|
23%
|
7%
|
4%
|
37%
|
|
3. Barack Obama
|
|
May ‘12
|
54%
|
19%
|
7%
|
5%
|
12%
|
3%
|
|
Apr. ‘12
|
45%
|
28%
|
8%
|
5%
|
14%
|
1%
|
|
4. Charlie Hales
|
|
May ‘12
|
16%
|
30%
|
16%
|
8%
|
4%
|
26%
|
|
Apr. ‘12
|
12%
|
26%
|
21%
|
6%
|
3%
|
32%
|
|
5. Amanda Fritz
|
|
May ‘12
|
12%
|
25%
|
19%
|
10%
|
8%
|
26%
|
|
Apr. ‘12
|
9%
|
25%
|
21%
|
9%
|
4%
|
33%
|
|
6. Jefferson Smith
|
|
May ‘12
|
16%
|
27%
|
22%
|
6%
|
4%
|
26%
|
|
Apr. ‘12
|
9%
|
19%
|
23%
|
5%
|
2%
|
43%
|
|
7. Mary Nolan
|
|
May ‘12
|
8%
|
19%
|
22%
|
7%
|
2%
|
42%
|
|
Apr. ‘12
|
7%
|
14%
|
19%
|
4%
|
2%
|
55%
|
Copyright 2012 KPTV (Meredith Corporation.) All rights reserved.
