Hibbitts: Trump must carry Florida, North Carolina and Ohio to w - KPTV - FOX 12

Hibbitts: Trump must carry Florida, North Carolina and Ohio to win presidency

Posted: Updated:
Images: CNN Images: CNN
PORTLAND, OR (KPTV) -

FOX 12 political analyst Tim Hibbitts said Donald Trump needs to carry Florida, North Carolina and hold Ohio to have a chance to defeat Hillary Clinton and become president.

On the eve of Election Day, Hibbitts said he can't picture any scenario that would allow the Republican to claim the White House if he doesn't win those three states.

"A loss in any one of those states and I think Hillary Clinton is going to be the next president," Hibbitts said.

At the same time, even if Trump does win those three states, he would still need to flip at least one state currently leaning toward Clinton or a collection of small states to reach the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the presidency.

"He's got the tougher path," Hibbitts said.

A poll released last week by Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. of Portland showed Clinton with a 41 percent to 34 percent lead over Trump in Oregon.

President Barack Obama won Oregon with a 12-point victory in 2012 and a 16-point victory in 2008.

Hibbitts also took a look at statewide issues, including Measure 97.

He said a few months ago, support was strong for the corporate tax measure. However, that changed as ads against Measure 97 ramped up.

"They have driven the support level down from 60 to 45 percent, then to 40 percent in the last poll that KPTV released," Hibbitts said.

That poll showed Measure 97 failing with opposition at 57 percent.

"I think this is going to be a real uphill climb for the 'yes' side to get over the top," Hibbitts said. "Normally, when these ballot measures start to slip, they don’t turn around again."

Hibbitts said the race for Oregon's secretary of state figures to be one to watch. Polls showed Republican Dennis Richardson with a slight lead, but there remains a lot of undecided voters between Richardson and Democrat Brad Avakian.

"The race is still up in the air," Hibbitts said.

Hibbitts said a Republican has not won a partisan statewide election in Oregon in 14 years. That spans 20 races in a row.

Copyright 2016 KPTV-KPDX Broadcasting Corporation. All rights reserved. 

Powered by Frankly
FOX 12
Powered by WorldNow CNN
All content © 2017, KPTV-KPDX Broadcasting Corporation, Portland, OR . All Rights Reserved.
For more information on this site, please read our Privacy Policy, and Terms of Service, and Ad Choices.